Paper
28 March 2023 Research on influencing factors of birth rate in China
Yanxuan He
Author Affiliations +
Proceedings Volume 12597, Second International Conference on Statistics, Applied Mathematics, and Computing Science (CSAMCS 2022); 125971D (2023) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2672664
Event: Second International Conference on Statistics, Applied Mathematics, and Computing Science (CSAMCS 2022), 2022, Nanjing, China
Abstract
Family planning is a policy implemented in China. From 2010 to 2020, China's birth rate continued to decline, and the problem of aging became more and more obvious, which will bring great obstacles to the country's long-term development. After inquiry, it is known that the economic situation, household expenditure, social situation, education and medical environment all have an impact on our country's basic population and birth rate. This paper aims to establish a regression equation through RStudio, analyze the mathematical model of the regression, and discuss the influencing factors of the national birth rate in the past 10 years combined with the basic national conditions of our country from 2010 to 2020. The main mathematical methods used are Principal Component Regression and Stepwise Regression. The experimental analysis shows that GDP, household income, household expenditure and divorce rate have a significant impact on the fertility rate, the most important of which are household income, GDP and divorce rate.
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Yanxuan He "Research on influencing factors of birth rate in China", Proc. SPIE 12597, Second International Conference on Statistics, Applied Mathematics, and Computing Science (CSAMCS 2022), 125971D (28 March 2023); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2672664
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KEYWORDS
Data modeling

Modeling

Principal component analysis

Reflection

Linear regression

Mathematical optimization

Statistical analysis

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