Genetically optimizing weather predictions

S. B. Potter; Kai Staats; Encarni Romero-Colmenero

doi:10.1117/12.2232306

15 July 2016 Genetically optimizing weather predictions

S. B. Potter, Kai Staats, Encarni Romero-Colmenero

Proceedings Volume 9910, Observatory Operations: Strategies, Processes, and Systems VI; 99102H (2016) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2232306
Event: SPIE Astronomical Telescopes + Instrumentation, 2016, Edinburgh, United Kingdom

Abstract

humidity, air pressure, wind speed and wind direction) into a database. Built upon this database, we have developed a remarkably simple approach to derive a functional weather predictor. The aim is provide up to the minute local weather predictions in order to e.g. prepare dome environment conditions ready for night time operations or plan, prioritize and update weather dependent observing queues.

In order to predict the weather for the next 24 hours, we take the current live weather readings and search the entire archive for similar conditions. Predictions are made against an averaged, subsequent 24 hours of the closest matches for the current readings. We use an Evolutionary Algorithm to optimize our formula through weighted parameters.

The accuracy of the predictor is routinely tested and tuned against the full, updated archive to account for seasonal trends and total, climate shifts. The live (updated every 5 minutes) SALT weather predictor can be viewed here: http://www.saao.ac.za/~sbp/suthweather_predict.html

Citation Download Citation

S. B. Potter, Kai Staats, and Encarni Romero-Colmenero "Genetically optimizing weather predictions", Proc. SPIE 9910, Observatory Operations: Strategies, Processes, and Systems VI, 99102H (15 July 2016); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2232306

ACCESS THE FULL ARTICLE

INSTITUTIONAL
Select your institution to access the SPIE Digital Library.

SELECT YOUR INSTITUTION

PERSONAL
Sign in with your SPIE account to access your personal subscriptions or to use specific features such as save to my library, sign up for alerts, save searches, etc.

PERSONAL SIGN IN

No SPIE Account? Create one

PURCHASE THIS CONTENT

SUBSCRIBE TO DIGITAL LIBRARY

50 downloads per 1-year subscription

Members: $195

Non-members: $335 ADD TO CART

25 downloads per 1 - year subscription

Members: $145

Non-members: $250 ADD TO CART

PURCHASE SINGLE ARTICLE

Includes PDF, HTML & Video, when available