Long-term climate prediction by means of Earth rotation rate adaptive variations models

Aleksandr S. Tolstikov; Viktor M. Tissen; Galina V. Simonova

doi:10.1117/12.2540926

18 December 2019 Long-term climate prediction by means of Earth rotation rate adaptive variations models

Aleksandr S. Tolstikov, Viktor M. Tissen, Galina V. Simonova

Proceedings Volume 11208, 25th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics; 1120887 (2019) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2540926
Event: XXV International Symposium, Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 2019, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation

Abstract

In the article, based on the results of assessing, the magnitude of the mutual correlation between variations in the speed of Earth rotation and the change in global temperature over the period from 1900 to 2015 the forecast of variations in the Earth's rotation speed and its temperature for a period of up to 20 years is given. The main parameter for building a prediction model is the speed of Earth rotation. It is shown that the observed global warming from the mid-20s of the current 100th anniversary is likely to enter the long cooling phase.

Citation Download Citation

Aleksandr S. Tolstikov, Viktor M. Tissen, and Galina V. Simonova "Long-term climate prediction by means of Earth rotation rate adaptive variations models", Proc. SPIE 11208, 25th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics, 1120887 (18 December 2019); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2540926

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